Religion and Ethics Forum

General Category => Politics & Current Affairs => Topic started by: Nearly Sane on June 14, 2023, 12:32:00 PM

Title: Drug deaths in Scotland up with latest figures the worst in almost two years
Post by: Nearly Sane on June 14, 2023, 12:32:00 PM
I suspect we've taken our eye off the ball - again.


https://www.dailyrecord.co.uk/news/drug-deaths-scotland-up-latest-30226716?utm_source=app
Title: Re: Drug deaths in Scotland up with latest figures the worst in almost two years
Post by: jeremyp on June 15, 2023, 10:57:20 AM
298 deaths which is 13 more than in the same period last year.

These numbers are quite small. The increase may not be statistically significant.

For example, if you look at historical data

https://www.gov.scot/publications/suspected-drug-deaths-scotland-october-december-2022/pages/3/

between Q1 2021 and Q3 2022, drug deaths were on a downward trend. It could be that the last two quarters are anomalies. If next quarter still shows a rising trend, I'd be worried, but not otherwise - at least no more so than is appropriate with nearly 100 people dying from drug use every month.
Title: Re: Drug deaths in Scotland up with latest figures the worst in almost two years
Post by: Nearly Sane on June 15, 2023, 11:02:10 AM
298 deaths which is 13 more than in the same period last year.

These numbers are quite small. The increase may not be statistically significant.

For example, if you look at historical data

https://www.gov.scot/publications/suspected-drug-deaths-scotland-october-december-2022/pages/3/

between Q1 2021 and Q3 2022, drug deaths were on a downward trend. It could be that the last two quarters are anomalies. If next quarter still shows a rising trend, I'd be worried, but not otherwise - at least no more so than is appropriate with nearly 100 people dying from drug use every month.
Good point. Though to emphasise your last comment, it's in a situation where the drug deaths are at a high in comparison to the rest of the UK and Europe. Some of which might be attributable to different recording mechanisms but not all.
Title: Re: Drug deaths in Scotland up with latest figures the worst in almost two years
Post by: jeremyp on June 15, 2023, 11:09:28 AM
Good point. Though to emphasise your last comment, it's in a situation where the drug deaths are at a high in comparison to the rest of the UK and Europe. Some of which might be attributable to different recording mechanisms but not all.

You are right. The rate is nearly twice as high, which I find fairly surprising. I wonder if anybody has done any research into the causes.
Title: Re: Drug deaths in Scotland up with latest figures the worst in almost two years
Post by: Nearly Sane on June 15, 2023, 11:19:45 AM
You are right. The rate is nearly twice as high, which I find fairly surprising. I wonder if anybody has done any research into the causes.
There has been some research, but it's a hard area to do it in. I fear that currently it's become politicised. The comment in the OP about taking our eyes off the ball relates to this


https://www.express.co.uk/news/politics/1422619/scottish-elections-stv-debate-nicola-sturgeon-snp-scotland-drug-crisis-vn