Religion and Ethics Forum

General Category => Politics & Current Affairs => Topic started by: Nearly Sane on September 05, 2023, 01:14:03 PM

Title: Former SNP MP Natalie McGarry to pay £66 after £25,000 theft
Post by: Nearly Sane on September 05, 2023, 01:14:03 PM
Well, that's ok then.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-glasgow-west-66717324
Title: Re: Former SNP MP Natalie McGarry to pay £66 after £25,000 theft
Post by: jeremyp on September 06, 2023, 10:04:17 AM
You can't take money she hasn't got.
Title: Re: Former SNP MP Natalie McGarry to pay £66 after £25,000 theft
Post by: Nearly Sane on September 06, 2023, 02:56:54 PM
You can't take money she hasn't got.
If that's all the money she has, I don't really see the point in taking it away. The admin may cost more and it leavrs her with nothing. A small monthly payment might have been better.
Title: Re: Former SNP MP Natalie McGarry to pay £66 after £25,000 theft
Post by: ProfessorDavey on September 07, 2023, 10:08:36 AM
I see that the SNP are no longer in the lead in Westminster polling.

https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/scottish-independence-referendum-westminster-voting-intention-2-4-september-2023/
Title: Re: Former SNP MP Natalie McGarry to pay £66 after £25,000 theft
Post by: jeremyp on September 07, 2023, 10:12:15 AM
If that's all the money she has, I don't really see the point in taking it away. The admin may cost more and it leavrs her with nothing. A small monthly payment might have been better.

Absolutely. Take a percentage of her income for a while.
Title: Re: Former SNP MP Natalie McGarry to pay £66 after £25,000 theft
Post by: Nearly Sane on September 07, 2023, 10:25:56 AM
I see that the SNP are no longer in the lead in Westminster polling.

https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/scottish-independence-referendum-westminster-voting-intention-2-4-september-2023/
Interesting moves in the Holyrood voting intentions with SNP up in constituency and down on lists.

The incompetence results on policy are a deep worry for them. The positive result on Covid shows the benefit of daily PPBs during it. Sturgeon's presentational skills covering no real policy differences.

Title: Re: Former SNP MP Natalie McGarry to pay £66 after £25,000 theft
Post by: Nearly Sane on September 07, 2023, 10:36:47 AM
Plugging the Westminster numbers into the Electoral Calculus site gives Labour 27 up 26, SNP 22 - down 26, Con 5 down 1, LD 5 up 1. The SNP do on that take Douglas Ross's seat. 
Title: Re: Former SNP MP Natalie McGarry to pay £66 after £25,000 theft
Post by: Nearly Sane on September 07, 2023, 10:46:33 AM
And looking at Holyrood, it gives the numbers below, which would likely result in a SNP/Green coalition, with greater powers to the Greens.
Title: Re: Former SNP MP Natalie McGarry to pay £66 after £25,000 theft
Post by: ProfessorDavey on September 07, 2023, 10:55:24 AM
Interesting moves in the Holyrood voting intentions with SNP up in constituency and down on lists.

The incompetence results on policy are a deep worry for them. The positive result on Covid shows the benefit of daily PPBs during it. Sturgeon's presentational skills covering no real policy differences.
You need to combine approve/disapprove with importance to voters to get a truer picture. So something that voters largely disapprove of, but also do not think important is unlikely to shift many votes. So from those figures Housing (-20% on approval) but with about 15-20% of people thinking it to be an important issue is going to be much more important than gender reform (also -20% on approval), but with just (I think) 2% of voters thinking it is an important issue.