Author Topic: Pope's kiss shrinks tumor!  (Read 3692 times)

Hope

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Re: Pope's kiss shrinks tumor!
« Reply #50 on: November 26, 2015, 05:32:57 PM »
That we're not at that level of achievement yet doesn't put the idea beyond science's remit, just beyond current capacity.
Yet your posts indicate an assumption, as does this one, that at some point in the future, it won't be beyond current capacity.  Do you have any evidence for this assertion?  Remember that, as in the financial world, past records can't be relied on as indicative of the future.
« Last Edit: November 26, 2015, 05:48:27 PM by Hope »
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Shaker

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Re: Pope's kiss shrinks tumor!
« Reply #51 on: November 26, 2015, 05:37:27 PM »
So, you're imnto making up definitions now are you, Shakes (option 2)?
No. It's an accepted part of the standard definition of your favourite form of sloppy reasoning.

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As for the reference to the NPF here, Floo made an assertion in post #2 - "The tumour would have shrunk anyway Pope kiss, or no Pope kiss, imo!"  OK, I accept that she hedged her bets by adding the 'imo', at the end.  Since you have taken up her cause, perhaps you can provide some evidence to support her assertion, or are you not too keen on making yourself look even more of an idiot than you have already.
I'm not taking up Floo's cause; as ever I'm pointing out where and why what pass for your "reasoning" "abilities" are so woefully flawed.
« Last Edit: November 26, 2015, 05:58:35 PM by Shaker »
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Hope

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Re: Pope's kiss shrinks tumor!
« Reply #52 on: November 26, 2015, 05:47:57 PM »
No. It's an accepted part of the standard definition 9f your favourite form of sloppy reasoning.
No such reference in the rationalwiki definition.


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I'm not taking up Floo's cause; as ever I'm pointing out where and why what pass for your "reasoning" "abilities" are so woefully flawed.
Oh, I'm sorry, Shaker.  I assumed that, since the post you quoted in your post was the latest post to have appeared in a discussion that had stemmed from Floo's opening post on the thread, you were supporting her position.  My bad.

Mind you, your alternative reason isn't much better.  It seems to me that you toss 'NPF' and other archane comments like it in so that you don't actually have to articulate your own understanding.   Not a particularly clever argumentation method.
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ippy

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Re: Pope's kiss shrinks tumor!
« Reply #53 on: November 26, 2015, 10:23:46 PM »
Except that, despite Shakes' insistence, I don't ask for negative proof.  Asking someone to provide evidence for an assertion, isn't the same as asking for negative proof.

I could have understood this post of yours but for something about an assertion.

Assertions, not a speciality of mine it's more an area for you Hope, assertion is more your thing.

ippy

jeremyp

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Re: Pope's kiss shrinks tumor!
« Reply #54 on: November 27, 2015, 12:22:53 AM »
Not true, Shakes.  There are things that are part and parcel of daily life that are not really within the scope of scientific investigation.  For intance, the idea of beauty.  I accept that scientific investigation can come up with generalized patterns of understanding this, but I'm not aware of any way in which science can explain let alone predict what individuals will regard as beautiful or not.
What has a shrinking tumour got to do with the idea of beauty?
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Shaker

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Re: Pope's kiss shrinks tumor!
« Reply #55 on: November 27, 2015, 02:15:13 AM »
No such reference in the rationalwiki definition.
And? Not tremendously long ago I supplied you with about half a dozen different links defining said fallacy, since you seemed to be standing in need of having it explained to you. I'm not convinced you're any the wiser now, frankly, as you're still at it.

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Oh, I'm sorry, Shaker. I assumed that, since the post you quoted in your post was the latest post to have appeared in a discussion that had stemmed from Floo's opening post on the thread, you were supporting her position.
That's OK, just be more careful next time.
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My bad.
Yup.
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Mind you, your alternative reason isn't much better.  It seems to me that you toss 'NPF' and other archane comments like it in so that you don't actually have to articulate your own understanding.  Not a particularly clever argumentation method.
No, I keep pointing it out because you keep doing it, in the so far vain but optimistic expectation that eventually some light will dawn and you will finally realise why you (repeatedly) commit such an egregious fallacy and stop doing it. As Outrider said fairly recently, most people at least try to hide the fallacies they commit, whereas yours couldn't be more brazen if they came heralded with flashing neon lights, a firework display, a fly-past by the Red Arrows and a 40-piece marching band (plus cheerleaders) playing Hopeless Days Are Here Again.

I concede that by now you've demonstrated yourself to be so impervious to reason or logical thought that his is unlikely to happen - as I've said before, there's such a thing as the triumph of experience over Hope. And there's a certain Schadenfreude to be enjoyed in seeing the inept and unaware make fools of themselves, as any observer of Conservative politicians or reader of your posts can testify.
« Last Edit: November 27, 2015, 02:32:17 AM by Shaker »
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Sriram

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Re: Pope's kiss shrinks tumor!
« Reply #56 on: November 27, 2015, 07:38:33 AM »
Absolutely agree. The correct thing to do, therefore, is to say 'We don't know', not to say 'It must have been papal saliva!'.

Spontaneous regression isn't making a scientific claim, it's saying that so far as we can see there's no obvious cause. When people make claims of other causes we can investigate scientifically and show that there is no reason to think those explanations are the case.

It might very well be special Christian magic done by the Pope, but in the absence of a mechanism, or any reliable way to determining why that time it worked and other times it doesn't, Papal magic is indistinguishable from 'we don't know', or from a placebo.

Spontaneous regression, as a phrase, isn't a presumption of a natural cause, it's an admission of 'we don't know'. To try to fit magical explanations in would be equally wrong.

O.


Funnily enough...science revels in unscientific conclusions in many (most?) situations.  Spontaneous remission, placebo, random gene variation, Emergence...and many others are examples.   Anything that is not known is put in the category of chance and accident and randomness....though it is clear that the world is anything but random.

Fine.... religious mythology and 'God did it' are not suitable explanations....I agree.

But there are alternative possibilities such as biofield, consciousness/intelligence being integral to nature etc. that common folk are able to discern....but which are  lumped with religious mythology and treated as 'supernatural explanations'and thrown out ....by the intellectual and rational brigade.

Scientists should be able to separate religion from those phenomena that are subtle and not obvious to our normal senses and instruments. These should be investigated with suitable methods that respect the subtlety of the phenomenon......instead of applying the same old methods and techniques again and again and concluding that 'there is nothing there!'. A case of looking at the cosmos with a microscope and concluding that 'there is nothing there'.   

Some people are of course, trying to bridge the gap with... 'Participatory Anthropic Principle', ' Gaia hypothesis', 'Copenhagen Interpretation of QM', 'many worlds theory', 'consciousness in plants' and such others. There is also growing evidence that the world is not as it appears through such phenomena as NDE's, ESP, spontaneous cures .....but there is no changing the mind of the mainstream folks. Its always the same old  stuffing a square peg into round hole and yelling 'it doesn't fit' and the perennial 'suitable evidence' demand!

I have hope though. I expect the situation will change in coming generations!

Outrider

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Re: Pope's kiss shrinks tumor!
« Reply #57 on: November 27, 2015, 09:48:21 AM »
Funnily enough...science revels in unscientific conclusions in many (most?) situations.  Spontaneous remission, placebo, random gene variation, Emergence...and many others are examples.   Anything that is not known is put in the category of chance and accident and randomness....though it is clear that the world is anything but random.

Well, current prevailing ideas at the quantum level, certainly, is randomness, though I have my own doubts about that, too. How are those scientific 'conclusions' wrong - they aren't claiming to know a mechanism, but they are undeniably observed phenomena. Should science pretend that it has an explanation and compromise the integrity of the claims it does make?

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Fine.... religious mythology and 'God did it' are not suitable explanations....I agree.

:)

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But there are alternative possibilities such as biofield

But biofields are in the same basket as 'God did it' - people claim it, but there's no reliable evidence to support it, no suggestion of a mechanism by which it would work that we could test, and no phenomena that would support the idea that it actually exists in the first place.

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consciousness/intelligence being integral to nature etc.

That rather depends what you mean by the expression. If you mean consciousness emerges from some natural activities, well yes, but how does that affect tumours, and how would you go about demonstrating or measuring that any more precisely than the current medical demonstrations that people with a 'positive' attitude tend to recover slightly (only slightly) more often or to a greater degree than people with a 'negative' attitude?

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that common folk are able to discern....but which are  lumped with religious mythology and treated as 'supernatural explanations'and thrown out ....by the intellectual and rational brigade.

And for the same reasons - not because (necessarily) they are definitively wrong, but either because they have been tested and been shown not to be consistent or present at all, or because they are claimed to be unreliable by nature and are therefore untestable.

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Scientists should be able to separate religion from those phenomena that are subtle and not obvious to our normal senses and instruments.

They generally are. The things you are suggesting aren't demonstrated phenomena, they are suppositions suggested as mechanics for observable phenomena - we can't detect 'biofields', they are posited as an explanation for illness and healing which we can detect.

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These should be investigated with suitable methods that respect the subtlety of the phenomenon......instead of applying the same old methods and techniques again and again and concluding that 'there is nothing there!'. A case of looking at the cosmos with a microscope and concluding that 'there is nothing there'.

When someone can suggest a reliable method for testing these ideas, typically, they are tested, and when they are demonstrated to be undetectable from background chance they are discarded as unproven. There is no 'conspiracy' here - the scientist that can demonstrate biofields will be a shoe in for a Nobel Prize, there's no sensible reason why a scientific researcher would not be working on this if there were a means by which it could be demonstrated.   

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Some people are of course, trying to bridge the gap with... 'Participatory Anthropic Principle', ' Gaia hypothesis', 'Copenhagen Interpretation of QM', 'many worlds theory', 'consciousness in plants' and such others.

Those are a mixed bag - specific predictions from things like multiple universes (a variant of the 'many worlds theory') can be made and in theory tested at some point. Likewise the Copenhagen interpretation has implications which have been tested and shown not to be the case, which means at the least it needs a reworking. The Gaia hypothesis and consciousness in plants are making claims that aren't, to current understanding, testable even in principle, unless and until we make advances in the understanding of the nature of consciousness: they therefore remain conjecture, and science doesn't base understanding on conjecture.

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There is also growing evidence that the world is not as it appears through such phenomena as NDE's, ESP, spontaneous cures .....but there is no changing the mind of the mainstream folks. Its always the same old  stuffing a square peg into round hole and yelling 'it doesn't fit' and the perennial 'suitable evidence' demand!

NDE's are perfectly well explained by conventional science without recourse to claims of afterlives and travelling soul/spirit bodies. ESP has been repeatedly and thoroughly tested and has never been shown to be reliable. Spontaneous cures happen, no-one's denying that - the phrase just means that we don't know what causes them, and that's being honest, not pretending like we know something.

This is not 'stuffing a square peg into a round hole', it's having thousands of differently sized round holes and no evidence of any square holes anywhere ever, and you claiming that you've got a square peg that will fit perfectly, except you can't show anyone because it's 'special'.

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I have hope though. I expect the situation will change in coming generations!

I have virtually no doubt that, at some point in the future, we will learn something that will show a degree of validity to one or two ideas that are currently seen as somewhere on the 'conjecture/pseudoscience/nonsense' spectrum, but not all of them, and not to the degree that they are claimed by adherents today.

O.
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Hope

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Re: Pope's kiss shrinks tumor!
« Reply #58 on: November 27, 2015, 03:12:11 PM »
I keep pointing it out because you keep doing it, in the so far vain but optimistic expectation that eventually some light will dawn and you will finally realise why you (repeatedly) commit such an egregious fallacy and stop doing it.
The problem is that asking people to provide evidence for assertions they make - something you often do yourself - is not a fallacy of any sort. Arguing that it is, provides me with the kind of evidence that you have several times asked me to provide.
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Hope

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Re: Pope's kiss shrinks tumor!
« Reply #59 on: November 27, 2015, 03:17:45 PM »
Spontaneous regression isn't making a scientific claim, it's saying that so far as we can see there's no obvious cause. When people make claims of other causes we can investigate scientifically and show that there is no reason to think those explanations are the case.
Except that, since there is often no scientific evidence or explanation (as has often been pointed out by the likes of yourself), showing that there is 'no reason to think those explanations are the case' is a fallacy.
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Outrider

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Re: Pope's kiss shrinks tumor!
« Reply #60 on: November 27, 2015, 03:23:09 PM »
Except that, since there is often no scientific evidence or explanation (as has often been pointed out by the likes of yourself), showing that there is 'no reason to think those explanations are the case' is a fallacy.

No, there's no reason in the lack of evidence to presume those explanations are wrong, but there's no reason to think they're right. Do you think that the claim 'spontaneous regression' is somehow a scientific claim that there is no cause? That's not the case, it means that we don't currently know the case: to claim ANY cause in the absence of evidence is wrong.

In the case of prayer - as an example - there have been experiments to see what effect, if any, it has on healing, and it's been shown to be completely ineffective. That's evidence to discount prayer, but not to discount anything else.

O.
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Nearly Sane

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Re: Pope's kiss shrinks tumor!
« Reply #61 on: November 27, 2015, 03:29:41 PM »
Except that, since there is often no scientific evidence or explanation (as has often been pointed out by the likes of yourself), showing that there is 'no reason to think those explanations are the case' is a fallacy.

This is one of those things where you are nearly getting the point, but then ignoring it because you think it smells of poo and wee.

If there is something that cannot be explained, it goes into the box of not explainable. It is determined as that on the naturalistic methodology of science. To move it into another box which you are seeking to do you need another methodology. Incredulity isn't one. So for about the million and ninth time (because I know all the good numbers), do you have one?

Shaker

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Re: Pope's kiss shrinks tumor!
« Reply #62 on: November 27, 2015, 03:29:58 PM »
The problem is that asking people to provide evidence for assertions they make - something you often do yourself - is not a fallacy of any sort. Arguing that it is, provides me with the kind of evidence that you have several times asked me to provide.
You are under a misapprehension, which is no surprise at all. Of course asking for evidence for a particular claim isn't a fallacy, but then nobody - nobody at all; not a single person - has said as much or argued on that basis. Well done for (inadvertently?) deploying yet another fallacy though, in this case the classic straw man. I won't bother trying to explain it.

I've already explained of what the negative proof fallacy consists so I'm not going to repeat it. Either you get it or you don't, and evidently you still don't.
« Last Edit: November 27, 2015, 03:48:43 PM by Shaker »
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Sriram

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Re: Pope's kiss shrinks tumor!
« Reply #63 on: November 28, 2015, 07:42:56 AM »
Absolutely agree. The correct thing to do, therefore, is to say 'We don't know', not to say 'It must have been papal saliva!'.

Spontaneous regression isn't making a scientific claim, it's saying that so far as we can see there's no obvious cause. When people make claims of other causes we can investigate scientifically and show that there is no reason to think those explanations are the case.

It might very well be special Christian magic done by the Pope, but in the absence of a mechanism, or any reliable way to determining why that time it worked and other times it doesn't, Papal magic is indistinguishable from 'we don't know', or from a placebo.

Spontaneous regression, as a phrase, isn't a presumption of a natural cause, it's an admission of 'we don't know'. To try to fit magical explanations in would be equally wrong.

O.


The problem is not with wanting evidence. Wanting evidence does not automatically produce evidence.  Evidence is dependent on our view point and perception....and how we choose to see it. Evidence unfortunately does not stand up and shout...'Hey...I am the evidence for such and such'. 

An evidence could be staring us in  the face everyday and we may not connect it to anything at all because we lack the specific background knowledge.

There is lots of evidence for lots of things all around us (that we don't know of currently)....but we don't and can't connect the dots correctly for various reasons.  Our biases, our logical limitations, background knowledge and many other things influence how we identify and put together the evidence.

Secondly, what methods we use to observe and analyse the evidence is also important. The same methods and techniques that are useful for certain phenomena need not be useful for other phenomena (the microscope example).

So...demanding evidence is not enough. There should be some respect for what a majority of people observe and discern about the world.... and an intelligent analysis needs to be made of this and suitable methods of observation/analysis designed.

Otherwise we will keep having this large gap between what a majority of the people regard as valuable in their lives  and what mainstream scientists regard as valuable. Which is actually an aberration...besides being unfortunate.


 

 
« Last Edit: November 28, 2015, 07:47:46 AM by Sriram »

Outrider

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Re: Pope's kiss shrinks tumor!
« Reply #64 on: November 28, 2015, 07:06:57 PM »
An evidence could be staring us in  the face everyday and we may not connect it to anything at all because we lack the specific background knowledge.

That's entirely possible - that's why we don't pretend that observed phenomena aren't actually happening, we just don't pretend that we have explanations.

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Secondly, what methods we use to observe and analyse the evidence is also important. The same methods and techniques that are useful for certain phenomena need not be useful for other phenomena (the microscope example).

Ah, methodology. I use various methodologies for various things: mathematics and logic have their uses. For the examination of physical phenomena, methodological naturalism is the default; science to the layman, and part of the methodology of science is that ideas without sufficient support within the framework aren't accepted. If you want them to be accepted outside of science you need to be explicit about what methodology you are using.

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So...demanding evidence is not enough. There should be some respect for what a majority of people observe and discern about the world.... and an intelligent analysis needs to be made of this and suitable methods of observation/analysis designed.

No, there needn't be respect for majority opinion in explanations for physical phenomena - people, even in large groups, have been demonstrably wrong before, and will again. Certain political systems work on a methodology of popular support, but science doesn't.

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Otherwise we will keep having this large gap between what a majority of the people regard as valuable in their lives  and what mainstream scientists regard as valuable. Which is actually an aberration...besides being unfortunate.

Science, in general, doesn't rate what's subjectively important in people's lives, it assesses physical phenomena for causes. What people's opinion of those causes are, independent of the evidence, is meaningless (unless it's the source of data for work in psychology, perhaps).

O.
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Sriram

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Re: Pope's kiss shrinks tumor!
« Reply #65 on: December 01, 2015, 02:41:24 PM »
That's entirely possible - that's why we don't pretend that observed phenomena aren't actually happening, we just don't pretend that we have explanations.

Ah, methodology. I use various methodologies for various things: mathematics and logic have their uses. For the examination of physical phenomena, methodological naturalism is the default; science to the layman, and part of the methodology of science is that ideas without sufficient support within the framework aren't accepted. If you want them to be accepted outside of science you need to be explicit about what methodology you are using.

No, there needn't be respect for majority opinion in explanations for physical phenomena - people, even in large groups, have been demonstrably wrong before, and will again. Certain political systems work on a methodology of popular support, but science doesn't.

Science, in general, doesn't rate what's subjectively important in people's lives, it assesses physical phenomena for causes. What people's opinion of those causes are, independent of the evidence, is meaningless (unless it's the source of data for work in psychology, perhaps).

O.

".. part of the methodology of science is that ideas without sufficient support within the framework aren't accepted"

'within the framework' is the contentious point I am talking about. You fix a framework and then expect the world to fall within that....doesn't make sense.  The framework has to be designed separately for different types of phenomena....which is my point.

I am not talking about popular support. I am talking about understanding why a majority (6 billion people is a lot) believe in certain things and value certain things.  This is vital to understand life itself.




Outrider

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Re: Pope's kiss shrinks tumor!
« Reply #66 on: December 01, 2015, 03:22:48 PM »
".. part of the methodology of science is that ideas without sufficient support within the framework aren't accepted"

'within the framework' is the contentious point I am talking about. You fix a framework and then expect the world to fall within that....doesn't make sense.  The framework has to be designed separately for different types of phenomena....which is my point.

Then give a methodology. Suggest some non-material methodology by which we can check these suggestions, otherwise they just remain untestable assertions.

O.
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ippy

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Re: Pope's kiss shrinks tumor!
« Reply #67 on: December 01, 2015, 08:11:40 PM »

The problem is not with wanting evidence. Wanting evidence does not automatically produce evidence.  Evidence is dependent on our view point and perception....and how we choose to see it. Evidence unfortunately does not stand up and shout...'Hey...I am the evidence for such and such'. 

An evidence could be staring us in  the face everyday and we may not connect it to anything at all because we lack the specific background knowledge.

There is lots of evidence for lots of things all around us (that we don't know of currently)....but we don't and can't connect the dots correctly for various reasons.  Our biases, our logical limitations, background knowledge and many other things influence how we identify and put together the evidence.

Secondly, what methods we use to observe and analyse the evidence is also important. The same methods and techniques that are useful for certain phenomena need not be useful for other phenomena (the microscope example).

So...demanding evidence is not enough. There should be some respect for what a majority of people observe and discern about the world.... and an intelligent analysis needs to be made of this and suitable methods of observation/analysis designed.

Otherwise we will keep having this large gap between what a majority of the people regard as valuable in their lives  and what mainstream scientists regard as valuable. Which is actually an aberration...besides being unfortunate.

Have you heard the one, the humorous version, about how the Do Do is supposed to have disappeared Sriram? This post of yours is making it look as though you may end up suffering an exactly similar fate.

ippy

Hope

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Re: Pope's kiss shrinks tumor!
« Reply #68 on: December 01, 2015, 08:32:19 PM »
Then give a methodology. Suggest some non-material methodology by which we can check these suggestions, otherwise they just remain untestable assertions.
People have suggested such a methodology many times, and some use it as the evidence for their present faith-position.  Its called 'experience' - ask Floo all about it.
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Gordon

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Re: Pope's kiss shrinks tumor!
« Reply #69 on: December 01, 2015, 08:44:26 PM »
People have suggested such a methodology many times, and some use it as the evidence for their present faith-position.  Its called 'experience' - ask Floo all about it.

People are fallible, so your 'method' fails in terms of validity and reliability: not a 'method' at all!

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Re: Pope's kiss shrinks tumor!
« Reply #70 on: December 01, 2015, 08:49:45 PM »
People are fallible, so your 'method' fails in terms of validity and reliability: not a 'method' at all!
Gordon, I was responding to O's request for a 'non-material methodology by which we can check these suggestions, otherwise they just remain untestable assertions'.  Floo makes a large play of her experience, as do some others like Matt - even yourself, sometimes.  You seem quite happy to accept that as valid, yet not other forms of experience.
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Re: Pope's kiss shrinks tumor!
« Reply #71 on: December 01, 2015, 08:58:25 PM »
Gordon, I was responding to O's request for a 'non-material methodology by which we can check these suggestions, otherwise they just remain untestable assertions'.  Floo makes a large play of her experience, as do some others like Matt - even yourself, sometimes.  You seem quite happy to accept that as valid, yet not other forms of experience.

I'm not aware that I've ever indicated that I accept 'experience' in isolation as being a critical indicator of what is true irrespective of who is doing the telling, and I'm even less aware that I'm in the habit of regularly posting about my own personal experiences: so I think that you are flying a kite here.

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Re: Pope's kiss shrinks tumor!
« Reply #72 on: December 02, 2015, 08:44:46 AM »
People have suggested such a methodology many times, and some use it as the evidence for their present faith-position.  Its called 'experience' - ask Floo all about it.

Experience - subjective, demonstrable inaccurate and untestable.

Not exactly a reliable methodology - how do you differentiate the claim of experience from someone making stories up?

O.
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New Atheism - because, apparently, there's a use-by date on unanswered questions.

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Floo

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Re: Pope's kiss shrinks tumor!
« Reply #73 on: December 02, 2015, 09:11:29 AM »
Gordon, I was responding to O's request for a 'non-material methodology by which we can check these suggestions, otherwise they just remain untestable assertions'.  Floo makes a large play of her experience, as do some others like Matt - even yourself, sometimes.  You seem quite happy to accept that as valid, yet not other forms of experience.

Our experiences in life shape the way we are to a certain extent. My experience of religion wasn't pleasant and I have lived the majority of my life without believing in any deity. It has worked for me, just as other people believe their faith works for them. I have never denied that I could be in error and a deity really does exist, in which case I am going to hell, whatever the meaning of that term really is. What I don't think is right is having a faith as a means of fire insurance, so to speak, which I think is the way some folk view it.
"When I die I hope I will be remembered with humour by my nearest and dearest."

Hope

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Re: Pope's kiss shrinks tumor!
« Reply #74 on: December 02, 2015, 10:40:32 AM »
What I don't think is right is having a faith as a means of fire insurance, so to speak, which I think is the way some folk view it.
I suspect you're correct - rather like the leaders of the Marxist-Leninist and Maoist political parties in Nepal attending regular 'puja' - 'just in case'.

However, I think that you will find that with the reducing numbers of people claiming allegiance to a religious belief, this group of people (nominal believers) are getting less as well.  In fact, I'd suggest that the main reason for the drop in allegiance numbers is because increasingly those nominal believers are no longer claiming that allegiance.
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